Wal's 2011 College Football Thread

[wal66]

I do this every year for all listed games each week in college football. Sometimes it helps sometimes it doesnt but I see no reason to not continue offering it to the boards.

I dont use this information the first couple of weeks of the season because the teams need to establish themselves before true power ranking can take hold.

Listed below are the games and the adjusted line for each. When I personally start using this I have an additional factor that goes into the equation and require at least a 3-point edge to qualify.

North Texas
Florida International -6

Wake Forrest -2
Syracuse

Mississippi State -21
Memphis

UNLV
Wisconsin -22

Bowling Green
Idaho -1

Kentucky -21
Western Kentucky

TCU -20
Baylor

Northwestern
Boston College -6.5

Miami Ohio
Missouri -22

Akron
Ohio State -38

Middle Tenn St
Purdue -6.5

Kent St
Alabama -34

Minnesota
USC -19

LA Monroe
FSU -28

South Florida
Notre Dame -2.5

Western Michigan
Michigan -9.5

Troy
Clemson -10.5

UCLA -3.5
Houston

BYU -4
Ole Miss

San Jose St
Stanford -29

Colorado St -3.5
New Mexico

Buffalo
Pittsburgh -24

Fresno St
California -10.5

Florida Atlantic
Florida -32

Ball St
Indiana -5.5

LA Lafayette
Oklahoma St -27

Rice
Texas -24

Army
Northern Illinois -7.5

East Carolina
South Carolina -10.5

Boise St -8
Georgia

Oregon -2
LSU

Ohio -11
New Mexico St

Tulsa
Oklahoma -16.5

LA Tech
Southern Miss -5

Colorado
Hawaii -1

Marshall
West Virginia -18.5

SMU
Texas A&M -12.5

Miami -5
Maryland

 

[Archie]

I'm getting pumped for college foots

been reading a few mags, mostly looking at big ten, big east, acc and SEC

let's have a great season walbert

 

[wal66]

I'm not as pumped as I was last year so hopefully that means I will have a better season. I am really stoked on a personal level to see if Florida can get things back to where we as fans expect them to be. I'm not sold on Brantley being able to overcome the harm that Urban's style did to him but our defense should definitely be way better.

Also curious to see where the upsets in the first week come from.

 

[MrMonkey]

Good luck with CFB this year!

 

[Cougar Bait]

My regular season CFB last year was ass.

But somehow I pulled it together and had an unreal run in the bowl games.

Wally, it is that time of year again. Good luck to you.

 

[senco78]

sept 3rd

 

[Archie]

coug's is solid with his college fb if I recall

I remember his bowl run and his analying games with Riggs.... even though I don't know who riggs is

I'd love to see some CB, BrockLanders, Vegas Dave, colaboration or contest this year

good luck fellas

 

[13nTtown]

Only one more lonely weekend of no football! Then it will be football from Gameday on ESPN until the end of the Hawaii games on Gameplan PPV. Best time of the year without a doubt.

 

[wal66]

Even with all the bad in the headlines it is still the greatest time of year. Most might say NFL but college football to me is the absolute best.

 

[senco78]

Even with all the bad in the headlines it is still the greatest time of year. Most might say NFL but college football to me is the absolute best.

 

[kato]

gl wal. gettem this year.

 

[wal66]

5-Dimes has College Extra which lines those games omitted in the original post. I will post those adjusted lines tomorrow when I get back to the office. I did them but couldn't find lines for them until today when I was playing around at the various options at a real book.

I was looking for and found some FUTURES for South Carolina.

SEC East +220
SEC Champion +625

I know some don't like a 2:1 value when making FUTURES but they are better odds and more edge than Georgia and Florida which are both valued ahead of South Carolina.

 

[Archie]

Wal, speaking of the SEC. what teams outside of the SEC do you see having a shot at the National Title?

 

[wal66]

Everyone is all high on Virginia Tech and I can understand that looking at their schedule. Personally I don't think they win the ACC due to FSU. So I guess I see an outside shot for the Nole's but very slim.

Wisconsin has a legitimate shot I think but I'll likely not do a future on them. I think they win the Big 10 (11? 12?) though even with Nebraska in the mix.

Oklahoma obviously has a real solid chance with Landry running the show.

Crazy as it sounds a long shot for consideration might be given to Stanford but I'll not be risking anything on them.

I concentrate mostly on the SEC for obvious reasons and I really believe South Carolina has a legitimate chance but it all boils down to Spurrier and Garcia. They have the talent to be in the conversation though.

 

[Badnina]

Yay football.


Wally, you ever leave again I will hunt you down. And not in a good way either. You are not allowed to leave. Did you not read the fine print?

 

[Archie]

yeah, no leaving us Wal

 

[Cougar Bait]

Welcome back Wally

You can't tell me you didn't like that

 

[wal66]

Nina, I didn't officially leave, I just needed a break. I was all ready to come back and then read where you were available and knew if I didn't wait a lil longer I would make some lame attempt to get in on the re-bound period.