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NFL Sunday Discussion

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Ok guys I have an idea of how I want to go but could use a lil play/no play from the family (I use family cause' that's what you guys are when I need something), thanks.

NY Giants -2
Giants/Cowboys OVER 48
Chargers/Browns OVER 43.5
Colts/Titans UNDER 47
 
GL Wally and glad you stayed away from Atl-Philly! Too many IF bout it especially with this rain and wind coming (even though just cloudy now) Philly has a depleted (horrible OLine) but surprised Falcons don't rush as well as Eagles!

If sloppy field does Vick continue TO binge? Atlanta causes miscues better than Eagles ......... so give edge to them if bad weather! Remember though Todd Bowles now DCoordinator for Philly and possible candidate for HC in 2013 replacing Andy Reid!

The ONE FACT hard to ignore ..........

The record is uncanny in that the Eagles have never lost a game following their week off during Andy Reids 13 seasons as the head coach. This season, however, could present the biggest challenge toward extending the streak.

A loss here and IMO has to be Reid's last year here!

+3 Falcons -1 Eagles :dunno:
 
I have decided that NYG @ DAL is a 100% full steam ahead, bet the farm on NYG... I may have to re-deposit if the Giants lose.

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NYG@DAL NYG-1 (over/under 48)
I think the easiest money this week will be Giants over Dallas; I'm going to buy the line up to -2.5 which is as high as they will allow. I don't see how the line can be only -1 for New York. I may be dead wrong, but I see New York crushing here. Romo always seem to choke in clutch situations and Manning clearly usually shines. New York can usually manage the clock very well. (Well enough to march down the field and kick the winning field goal.)On top of this, from what I read, Dallas' best running back DeMarco Murray is out for the game.
If I had to bet the over or under, I think I'd take the under, unless someone could make a decent argument for New York scoring 5 or more touchdowns...


:gold::gold::gold:
 
I definitely like Atlanta +3.

One simplistic piece of philosophy I use in my NFL betting is that a home team favored by three should mean equal teams. i.e. if the teams were to meet on neutral ground, it would be a pick em.

I don't see that here. I see Atlanta as the better team. Their record and points differential is obviously better. Their schedule has been a bit weaker but I don't think enough to start calling these teams equal. Atlanta has been getting the job done and Philly has been fumbling around a fair bit.

I'm happy to get a full field goal on a Falcons bet.



(weeeeeeeeeeeeeeee)