Has anyone looked into results when Pinnacle goes offline for odds?

[djiddish98]

The title basically says it all (Edit: rather confusingly)

When I see pinnacle going offline, I think of the circuit breakers on wall st. They're pulling a line because they've just received an influx of betting on one side and want to take a second or few to better assess the situation to make sure they aren't going to get killed at their current line.

Presumably, they pulled the line off for a reason. Either big money came in on one side or someone well respected to their system put down a considerable amount. Is there any value in tracking the line movement pre offline and post offline as an insight into a +EV bet?

Has anyone looked into this an feel like sharing with the group?

 

[Acid Joe]

happens all the time doesn't mean much.... in soccer the line can be off line a dozen times prior to the match and move all over the place,

 

[djiddish98]

Thanks for the response.

I've only really watched their baseball lines dynamically - It seems like whenever the line goes offline, there's been some sort of lineup announcement.

 

[djiddish98]

On another note, I've made a script that is currently pulling pinnacle line movements from Vegas insider for all of 2009.

I'm testing to see if the last line movement indicates anything. I was just going to run a correlation between home team winning (a binary 1 or 0 variable) vs. last line move in favor of home team (a binary 1 or 0 as well). This is very rudimentary statistics, but I think it should answer my question.

Is anyone interested in the data? I plan on making it public, so let me know if you want me to set things up a certain way.

 

[MrX]

I'll always take some line data. I'll give something in return, your pick from a lot of stuff.

If Gamelive personnel are reading this, can you send djiddish my email?

 

[djiddish98]

Anything you'd like in there?

Here's basically what I'm working with.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/scoreboard/scores.cfm/game_date/06-12-2009

Pulling pinnacle line movements from this page (example)

http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/[email protected]/date/6-12-09

Just doing MLs for now.

Plan of putting in lineID (which will be some sort of mashup between the date, home team's roto, and a counter, with the first line being 1)
home team roto num
date
Time of game start
Time of line move
home team win (1 if yes, 0 if no)

then fiddling with the organization of the line moves. I still need to set something up for the home team line in one column and the visiting team in another. VegasInsider does theirs by fave / dog, so I'll have to do a check in the code for which team is home.