Hooligans Plays Baccarat

Frankie Edgar

  • Start date •
  • Replies
    71 Replies •
  • Views 3,926 Views
Follow
MonkeyF0cker
I tend to doubt that Ray.
Click to expand...

i was talking offshore since we were talking 5dimes lines , i should have said... and i agree, you would have a hard time convincing me that vegas money/ books didnt control the prices offshore somewhat... but im told no groups from the states have anywhere as much moving power as others as far as offshore books go...makes sense because of books with huge limits that dont cater to americans...
 
Have you been using Boomaker's live option, Ray? Some crazy-soft lines in-between rounds



nice, cashed my first play on Tamura as a +200 dog.

2nd round knockout.


My writeup for the fight..

Zhang Tiequan vs. Issei Tamura

As a late replacement for Leonard Garcia, Issei Tamura will be looking to upset one of the more consistently overrated fighters in the UFC.

Since entering the UFC/WEC in 2010, Zhang Tiequan has proven to be one of the more consistently overrated fighters by the oddsmakers. At -250 over Danny Downes, he gassed out and dropped a decision to one of the worst fighters in the division. More recently, he came in as a slight favorite over Darren Elkins and managed to get out wrestled and out struck in route to another decision loss.

From the limited footage out there, Issei Tamura failed to impress me. He has a solid right hand but no real set up or footwork to get inside. However, the fact that he has short, stocky limbs and seeing him survive the active guard of Gustavo Falciroli does lend slight credibility to his submission defense.

With Zhang, you know he’s usually going to either secure an early choke or fade late. I’m hoping to get Tamura at decent dog-price here, otherwise I would avoid this fight altogether.




End result here:http://twitpic.com/8opm7l
 
Last edited:
I gave 2 and 3 to Miz but he was definitely overvalued. Rounds 1 and 3 were both close.

2-0 start for me on +200 dogs.

In his last 3 performances, Chris Cariaso has proven undervalued by the odds makers -- going 2-1 in the process.

Chris CariasoAfter taking a decision off of Will Campuzano, he went in as a +350 underdog against Michael Mcdonald and managed to fight him to a split decision. His speed, leg kicks and rapidly improving ground game were all on display in a close loss.

Chris is great at getting in and out of the pocket with his leg kicks while using them to initiate the majority of his combinations. He has a sneaky short left on the inside and usually prefers to counter with his lead.

His ground game has also shown steady improvements since getting submitted by Renan Pegado at WEC 53. Aside from securing an omoplata against Mcdonald, he achieved full mount in the second round against Vaughan Lee and even managed to take his back in the third.

Mizugaki’s size and takedowns, however, should be enough to ensure that he opens as the betting favorite. His takedown ability was on full display in one of his more recent bouts against Reuben Duran. He showed a nice double leg from the outside and repeatedly took Duran down with an impressive body lock against the cage.

He may be at a disadvantage in the striking department but he has a nice right hand that he usually looks to stalk and counter with. At times he’ll also look to persistently attack his opponent lead leg from the outside, which he successfully used to slow Duran down late in their fight.

I currently have to side with Mizugaki here but Cariaso is a very live dog at anything over +140. His improved takedown defense, massive speed advantage and ever evolving ground game all lead me to believe he may be once again underpriced here.

Cariaso at +140 or higher.


F
 
3-0 on Dogs so far, another +250 winner


My write-up:

Simply put, Vaughan Lee is peaking as a fighter whereas kid seems to be on a rapid decline. I regretfully have to advise a play on Kid at anything close to even but I certainly wouldn’t hesitate to back Lee at anything over +140. With so many x-factors, the best play here may end up being no play at all.
 
My undercard write-up:

When the undercard lines were released on Tuesday, the market immediately corrected a few overpriced favorites.

Vaughan Lee went from +375 to +250 and the UFC odds boards, Issei Tamura fell from +280 to +230 and Eiji Mitsuoka dropped from +200 to +165.

I think with all three opening prices we were seeing inflation based off names and prior accomplishments. All three favorites have shown to be either massively overrated or on a steep decline at this current stage in their careers.

I think there’s still just enough value to play all three SU and would even consider parlaying them together, which would come out to around +2600.




just need Eiji now to cash around a +2500 parlay
 
Damn, Gomi was getting worked. Cashed with the under 2.5 rounds, though.

Rampage down to -150 now, decided to sit that one out.



"According to the UFC, Takeya Mizugaki will get his win bonus tonight because they all think he deserved to win."
 
PEtTISSSSSSSSSSSS MONEY


My writeup:

Anthony is just a sniper on the feet;there’s no wasted motion in this kid’s strikes. He has tremendous hand speed and phenomenal precision. His overhand right and left head kick are two of his more powerful strikes, but he is fully equipped with a wide range of knockout blows.



KO
http://twitpic.com/8oro2v
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.