Hooligans Plays Baccarat

Anybody sitting on a Baltimore to win AL East ticket from beginning of season?

  • Start date
  • Replies
    23 Replies •
  • Views 2,199 Views
Nah. Don't do season-long futures.

But last year some guy bet these last year at the MGM in September...

cardinalsbet.jpg
 
Holy camole.

Looking further I see Balt to win pennant at +12,500 and WS at +25,500.

Would be nice to be holding a few of those right about now. Not sure how anyone could predict THIS kind of a season out of Balt though.
 
It's the kind of thing where, if someone was holding that ticket - same with those St. Louis tickets from last year - you would have to ask how often they try plays like that. If it is a unique or rare play for them - and voila it comes through - then you just have to congratulate them. Jackpot. But if someone is making a regular thing of betting on miracles such as this year's Orioles going all the way, they are going to have a helluva lot of losing tickets that they aren't so anxious to show off.

A hell of a lot.

There are hedging strategies of course. You would get paid more often but less $$$. But still mostly straight-up losers.




I have heard claims of +ev long-term strategies for futures betting. But then I have heard claims of lots of things. Who knows?

Futures was never my thing at all.
 
There are definitely +EV opportunities for futures. The markets are far less efficient than day-to-day spread/ML/total markets. The problem is two-fold... Small limits and opportunity cost. Your money is tied up for the entire season.

Futures are really only worthwhile to advantage gamblers near the end of the season - when you can pick off some bad numbers and not have to wait months to cash a ticket.
 
Just took a look and saw Greek had them at +8550 preseason.

Wowie that would be nice.

MF? Reeto? MrX? FairWarning? ANYONE???

Sure wish I did. I was wondering what their odds win the ALEast were last night. That was a great crowd in Baltimore Thursday. I do have a White Sox to win the ALCentral at +1800 from February (highest odds), doubt it cashes.