O.K. people I ended the preseason by going 4 - 3, to put the overall total at 20 - 14 for the Preaseason, and I ended up collecting a little over a dime of seed money for the season. So I'll take the huge return on investment from the Tour de France, and the money I picked up from the preaseason, and start winning in the regular season with the NFL. This year will be different, instead of telling you who will lose, I just decided to go ahead and tell you all who I think will win. It seems that some people had a hard time figuring out that if I put the team on the spreadsheet last year, that it actually meant that I was betting against them. Anyway, below is the complete preseason card that I invested in. I know that you guys hate the SBR, but I do like the spreadsheet that they have.
So now on to the regular season, and I can't wait. I come out of the gate with a play on the first game of the year with
New Orleans (-4.5 -107) for $500 .
The way I figure it, both New Orleans and minnesota usually come out of the gate well and cover in their 1st game. This year however, Minnesota doesn't have the receivers right now to compete with the scoring machine that is the Saints. I realize that Minnesota will try to use defense and running the ball to protect against having to air it out, but I just think that New Orleans will be able to score easily enough against the Vikes to put old fossilized Farve into a throwing situation, and Minnesota just isn't set up to throw the ball yet, maybe in a couple of weeks, but not this week.
Next it is Indy and Houston going
over 47 (-103) for $400 . Yeah, the vig at Pinny kind of sucked, so I sold a half point to reduce the vig to a respectable level.
These 2 teams usually go over the total when they meet up in Houston as in the last 5 times they played, however, I am only placing a small wager on this game due to both Indy and Houston having a tendency to play under games coming out of the gate.
I like Atlanta and Pittsburgh to stay
under 37.5 (+100) for $400. Yeah, I also sold a half point on this one as well because of the high vig percentage.
The way I figure it is that Atlanta has a good team that will be able to stop the Dixon led Steeler offense, and the Steelers already know that if they can't stop Atlanta they will be doomed. I'll be looking for allot of running from the Steelers, and the Falcons, and thus a low scoring game. Understand that the Steelers have a way of being involved in games that get explosive scoring for a little while, but I just don't see it from Dixon, so I put another small play on the game.
On to the game I like for the week. Cincinnati and New England to fly way
over 44.5 (-103) for $700. Again I sold a half point to bring the vig into the right level.
New England has a crappy defense, and everybody knows it. If the Pats are going to win this year, they will be out scoring their opponents to do it. This week the Bungles trout on up to Chowderville, and I see them scoring atleast 20 on the Pats defense, and I know that the Brady bunch will be able to return the scoring.
I live here near Eagle country, and since until recently, I was unemployed, I had a chance to go to the Eagles training camp. I can tell you they were for the most part, lost on offense when I saw them, and the preaseason bears that out. Of course preseason doesn't mean shit, so I am basing the play of
G.B -3 (+100) for $500 mostly on Green Bay and the offense they bring. I don't think old Corn on the Kolb will be able to keep up.
Bal +1 (+123) for $700.
The odds makers just have it wrong, and by Monday, I expect Baltimore to be favored. In which case I may middle this play if I don't have a decent weekend.
