Flacco Props for tonight's NFL game

[djiddish98]

Pinnacle seems to disagree with Bodog in regards to Joe Flacco's ability.

Take a look at Total TD passes by Flacco as well as first TD pass (Flacco Vs. Ryan)

Both prop markets are small, but I'm going to guess Pinnacle has a better sense of things.

 

[rito]

Pinny copies other books, but then moves on action.

I have under 4 sacks like 12 places mostly at -140. And pinny has been on -135 all day, I'm Hoping people just don't bet props there since they went like 3 years without offering them. This and flacco +2.5 pass yds gonna be the biggest prop bets I,ve ever made.

 

[FairWarning]

Look at Mason over 3.5 recs -125 (5 Dimes). Fantasy Guru projects him for 5.

 

[FairWarning]

Pinny copies other books, but then moves on action.

I have under 4 sacks like 12 places mostly at -140. And pinny has been on -135 all day, I'm Hoping people just don't bet props there since they went like 3 years without offering them. This and flacco +2.5 pass yds gonna be the biggest prop bets I,ve ever made.

I see the juice is -150 on that Flacco prop now.

 

[FairWarning]

I played Boldin over 70.5 rec yards -135 also. Atlanta has given up the most yards to WR's over the last 4 weeks.

 

[djiddish98]

I would assume the Bodog is copying from the same place (Greek?), or do they have their prop ship in order (they offer decent limits).

 

[djiddish98]

Also like Bodog's under 21.5 points for Baltimore, with Pinny showing even at 21 - I assume the push on 21 is pretty high for team totals?

 

[Saulty]

Flacco is going to eat artificial turf early and often tonight.

 

[senco78]

Pinny copies other books, but then moves on action.

I have under 4 sacks like 12 places mostly at -140. And pinny has been on -135 all day, I'm Hoping people just don't bet props there since they went like 3 years without offering them. This and flacco +2.5 pass yds gonna be the biggest prop bets I,ve ever made.

DSI has Flacco -7.5 pass yds

 

[rito]

DSI has Flacco -7.5 pass yds

yea, looks like they finally posted props, i was checking a bunch earlier and nothing. they don't like to post em early. greek had em up since yesterday morning

 

[senco78]

so would there not be an edge on Ryan +7.5
if Pinny has Ryan -2.5?

 

[rito]

Yards arent worth very much. -2.5 is -150 at pinny. props aren't very accurate either, i'd take the -7.5 -135 if you want anything

 

[djiddish98]

I've never modeled props before, but I would imagine that the difference of 9 yards would not make up for the lean that pinny has on the prop right now (-150 flacco), depending on what DSI is offering in terms of odds.

Anyone notice that Bodog has Flacco O/U at 260.5 and Ryan at 240.5? Could create something synthetic there similar to the spread on the pass yards?

 

[rito]

i have flacco at 260 approx and ryan at 215

 

[djiddish98]

i have flacco at 260 approx and ryan at 215

Do you use football outsiders at all (I imagine for opponent adjustments)?

 

[rito]

whoops

 

[Jello]

Was there a prop for Flacco not doing jack shit tonight?

 

[Saulty]

Was there a prop for Flacco not doing jack shit tonight?

You can bet all the props for No instead of Yes and win them all.