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Care to go into more detail on UAB and VCU? I know almost nothing about NCAA basketball and just use kenpom. With some minor tweaks to that formula, I'm getting Clemson by 7 (UAB doesn't force TOs), and USC by 5 (ORB improvement cancels out increase in TOs) Thanks.

Anything sticking out to anyone? I kinda like... "Will Blake Griffin (West) make his first Field Goal attempt? - Yes" I assume he's going to try and dunk it and encounter little in the way of defense. Currently -150 right now at bodog. Granted, he could miss the dunk.

I came over here to make a thread about this one. I'm sure the bodog line is getting distorted because Kenpom has Kansas as 8 point favorites + it's a public team. I got the Kansas St. +6.5 -105

So much for those Hines Ward props!

First TD for the Steelers or First TD for both teams?

Agreed with the under on Hines Ward props, especially on Bodog.

Did everyone sign up using the same currency?

That weekend hurt - having 50 teasers with TB and Jacksonville in week 3 was plain stupid on my part, since I had the math wrong.

I ended up going with the "giant middle" route by betting to win on the +3 skins spread what I had risked on the teasers - this is sub-optimal, but it felt right.

Also, that +3 +120 number is pretty nice.

Anyone know what the best way to hedge is - my brain is kinda fried, so I don't feel like setting up the solver equation. Could take redskins +3 +120 for a nice middle, or go with redskins -3.5 +240 on the alternate line. Currently have about 5.7% at risk with the remaining eagles teasers.

I did a round-robin on all 6 teams with 3 team teasers.

Really digging this group, although there are a lot of options out there. Miami Dolphins (+1) Chicago Bears (+1.5) Detroit Lions (+3) New York Jets (-3) Denver Broncos (+1) Philadelphia Eagles (-3)

Bodog is off on almost anything spread related. Just missed a juicy quarter line.

Any suggestions? Bodog is too scared.

Do you use football outsiders at all (I imagine for opponent adjustments)?

I've never modeled props before, but I would imagine that the difference of 9 yards would not make up for the lean that pinny has on the prop right now (-150 flacco), depending on what DSI is offering in terms of odds. Anyone notice that Bodog has Flacco O/U at 260.5 and Ryan at 240.5? Could...

Also like Bodog's under 21.5 points for Baltimore, with Pinny showing even at 21 - I assume the push on 21 is pretty high for team totals?

I would assume the Bodog is copying from the same place (Greek?), or do they have their prop ship in order (they offer decent limits).

Pinnacle seems to disagree with Bodog in regards to Joe Flacco's ability. Take a look at Total TD passes by Flacco as well as first TD pass (Flacco Vs. Ryan) Both prop markets are small, but I'm going to guess Pinnacle has a better sense of things.