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Also one of these bets seems off AJ Green under 4.5 -155 AJ 4th pick overall -300 I went with under 4.5 - seems like an easier way to get the Bengals pick. Am I missing anything?

Here is what I have so far Date placed: 2011 NFL Draft - What will Patrick Peterson's draft position be All wagers have action. (4518) Over vs. (4519) Under Over 6 (+110) Thu@8:00p This one is something of a hedge with the 7th Prince Bet - I think the Niners go secondary regardless of who is...

Bodog's lines are up. http://www.nfl.com/draft/2011/mock-drafts?module=HP_headlines Seems like Marcell and Von are locked in to 2&3. Also seems like Prince Amukamara might be a good bet to go to the Niners with the 7th pick at +400, assuming the cardinals take Peterson with the 5th.

Do you have a min edge you like to bet? Baseball kills me, but Bodog alone offers plenty of steamable plays depending on your edge threshold (mine is low because I like the action)

interesting - if you don't mind sharing, is that due to a lack of perceived value or are you giving the books a break? What sport is the biggest % of that number?

How has baseball been this year for you (so far)?

Bodog puts their lines up on Monday. Who are we looking to hammer? Latest news seems to have Carolina waivering on Cam Newton.

Unfortunately, I can't really give much insight into these things - I don't think I possess any knowledge on sports that is beyond what is commonly known. However, as a Knicks "fan", I would take Boston to win this series at most prices.

And yet, this activity is "regulated" http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-amateur-currency-trading-20110403,0,588787.story I think I can safely assume (can I?) that pro-sports are not involved in any sort of match fixing, so I can verify the authenticity of the outcome with my bet. I...

Ha - thanks. That's what in the back of my mind.

Baseball has been brutal for me this week - I must be chasing the wrong steam

Butler in foul trouble - look out

This line has plummeted in Butler's favor over the last hour. I have ODU beating Pitt in a bracket, so I bought Butler +2.5 as insurance.

Oh god, the teasers.

Fair enough - it's a bit hypocritical of me to say ignore kenpom as I pick dogs to advance. I just wouldn't auto-bet it.

Excellent - thanks.

Where did you find the log5 kenpom odds? I see all of them on basketballprospectus.com except for 1 region.

Here's some analysis based upon the value relative to the seed - I'm taking the historical seed win odds (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Basketball_Championship#First-round_games) and then comparing them to the ML. I wouldn't auto-advance Missouri due to this analysis -...

I would argue that "Vegas" (or the line) is sharper than KenPom. KenPom is publicly available and likely already factored into the lines. However, these 5 seeds look pretty weak this year (excluding arizona) - I would say you should be looking for atleast a 5 point fave for a decent 5 seed.

I also like the idea of taking YES for teams like Syracuse, Texas and Louisville, and then arbing with the opponent's ML in the second round (assuming each of these teams advance)