Arena Football starts tonight

[RogueScholar]

I'm sure Justin7 can't stop creaming his pants, but I just can't get excited. 5Dimes just moved their line on tonight's TV game from Chicago -2 to Chicago -7.5 in one move. Talk about your bubblegum leagues, eh?

 

[roguejuror]

Who originates?

 

[Herman]

Justin7 must have pounded Chicago.

What are the betting limits at the A+ shops, and also in Vegas?

 

[rito]

Cris originates copied by greek and pinny. Cris had 1k yesterday, greek and pinny 500 , pinny has 1k today.

No totals up so far.

Id expect limits to decrease further. Players are being paid $400 a game.

 

[RogueScholar]

I don't think Justin7 is sharp enough to move any line 5.5 points, even in a small market. If he were that good he'd still be cashing checks from Pinny for managing their Arena lines.

$500 max on sides, no totals for the time being. At least that's at 5Dimes.

 

[rito]

Justin made 100 k+ the last arena season.

He doesnt play the first few weeks though.

That line moved more gradually at the bigger shops, i picked up -3 at bookmaker

 

[RogueScholar]

A certifiable 100K, or him just saying he made that much?

 

[rito]

He said it, his sbr posted plays did hit 57%, which wouldnt make it that unreasonable with enough outs

 

[Herman]

I don't think Justin7 is sharp enough to move any line 5.5 points, even in a small market. If he were that good he'd still be cashing checks from Pinny for managing their Arena lines.

$500 max on sides, no totals for the time being. At least that's at 5Dimes.

Nah, that's not his personality. He'd rather beat the books than work for them. I'm sure he could probably get any sportsbook job if he wanted it.

 

[rito]

Nah, that's not his personality. He'd rather beat the books than work for them. I'm sure he could probably get any sportsbook job if he wanted it.

Sportsbook jobs pay way less than pro bettors make.

Justin needs to figure what he wants to be, a player or a writer. Stop giving away $.

 

[senco78]

he said he isnt playing for the first few weeks

 

[RogueScholar]

Gah, this game is a flat-out suckfest. Chicago looks okay, but nothing like they did two years ago, it's obvious these players aren't very motivated.

14-0 Chicago, 6:00 1stQ

 

[rito]

Justin is crying again that some stupid tout moved overnights before he could bet when limits went up. Like the covers idiot has any idea anyway.

Surely at some point today the chicago/cleveland line had value (on either side)

POINTSPREADS
04/08 12:49 +8 -110 / -8 -110
04/09 11:47 +9 -110 / -9 -110
04/09 11:51 +10 -110 / -10 -110
04/09 11:52 +11 -110 / -11 -110
04/09 11:54 +11 -110 / -11 -110
04/09 12:00 +12 -110 / -12 -110
04/09 12:09 +12 -110 / -12 -110
04/09 12:10 +11 -110 / -11 -110
04/09 12:13 +9 -110 / -9 -110
04/09 12:15 +7 -110 / -7 -110
04/09 12:28 +7 -110 / -7 -110
04/09 13:02 +6 -110 / -6 -110
04/09 13:42 +4 -110 / -4 -110
04/09 13:43 +5 -110 / -5 -110
04/09 14:19 +6 -110 / -6 -110
04/09 14:26 +6 -110 / -6 -110
04/09 15:40 +6 -110 / -6 -110

 

[rito]

Oh yea, chasing arena steam = bad idea.

Line History:
Dallas Vigilantes vs Tulsa Talons
POINTSPREADS
04/08 15:41 -6 -110 / +6 -110
04/09 12:01 -4 -110 / +4 -110
04/09 12:05 -4 -110 / +4 -110 HERE I TAKE +6.5
04/09 12:09 -4 -110 / +4 -110
04/09 12:13 -5 -110 / +5 -110
04/09 12:14 -9 -110 / +9 -110
04/09 12:16 -7 -110 / +7 -110
04/09 12:17 -9 -110 / +9 -110
04/09 12:28 -10 -110 / +10 -110
04/09 12:37 -10 -110 / +10 -110


whoops

 

[Dunder]

Without inside knowledge, I wouldn't touch this sport with a bargepole.
The likelihood of corruption/fixing is just too big a factor, IMHO.

 

[senco78]

Without inside knowledge, I wouldn't touch this sport with a bargepole.
The likelihood of corruption/fixing is just too big a factor, IMHO.

you mean like soccer.....

 

[rito]

I have 2k+ in bets on tonight's games. That's more than 5 players make. I think perhaps modeling this is the wrong approach. How would one go about fixing such a game?

 

[Dunder]

you mean like soccer.....

To an extent, yes. There are certain soccer leagues/cpmpetitions that I wouldn't touch either.